Last week I went 2-2-1 with the Cincinnati, Chicago game being the push so we are not off to a terrible start. Week 1 is usually the hardest week to gamble on because of all the unknowns of the offseason and how well the new players on the team will work together. Here’s my Week 2 Spreads!
The big loss of the week had to be the Jets not only covering, but beating Tampa Bay. The Bucs are not exactly a great team either, but they should have been able to beat the Jets by at least a field goal. However, the Jets defense has looked very stingy in their first two games. On to week 2, there are many good matchups this week including Manning Bowl III, Seatlle vs San Francisco, and I am sure everybody is looking forward to Jacksonville vs Oakland, but these are the games I like against the spread.
1. Indianapolis (-2.5) vs. Miami
I know Andrew Luck and Indy burned me last week, but was also against the unknown variable of Terrell Pryor. This spread is just too small for me to pass up with a team that is that talented playing at home against a Miami team that I believe is overrated. Their running game is supposed to be improved, but showed no signs of life last week against the Browns, and Ryan Tannehill’s new deep threat, Mike Wallace, only had one catch for 15 yards. The Dolphins vowed they would get him more looks this week, which I believe since Indy’s defense is not very good, but I believe that the Colts will do enough to cover this small spread at home.
2. Arizona (+2) vs. Detroit
Yes Detroit won last week and Arizona lost, but I still believe that Arizona is the better team overall in this matchup. This is subject to change if Larry Fitzgerald does not play or is not playing to his potential, but as of now he is slated to play and still be his normal self. Even if he is not 100% their 3rd receiver Andre Roberts is very talented and should be able to give Detroit problems along side Michael Floyd. This team is much improved with Carson Palmer calling the shots, and I still do not trust Detroit to go on the road after a big division win and make it two in a row. Reggie Bush and Joique Bell both had very good games, but I believe that Detroit will make too many mistakes on the road to win this one.
3. New Orleans (-3) at Tampa Bay
I am basing this on the fact that Tampa Bay looked horrible against the Jets last week, and now facing a much better team in New Orleans, the three point spread should be covered easily. This has been labeled as a trap game in Vegas because New Orleans is playing on the road in a division game, coming off a big win against Atlanta, but I still do not see the Bucs being able to hang around for 60 minutes. Doug Martin and Tampa Bay’s offense should be able to move the ball more against this Saints defense but their offense will be able to out score them in every way.
4. Baltimore (-6.5) vs Cleveland
I was on the fence about including this one because I am not entirely confident on it, but the more I think about it the more I think that Baltimroe should cover. First of all, it is their home opener after winning the Super Bowl so spirits should be high even after the beat down Peyton Manning put on them last week. Also, they have had 10 days to prepare for a Cleveland team that could not even score on Miami. Their defense should have solved their problems in this week of practice and force a few turnovers against Brandon Weeden. If this game slips to -7 or higher I would leave it alone, but at 6.5 this should be a good value since Baltimore should be able to win by a touchdown.